An Illustrated Speculative Timeline
of Future Technology and Social Change

How advances in technology may reshape humanity

A Presentation of jrm&aFLUX

This page last updated on or about 8-30-03
_________by J.R. Mooneyham_________
(Free JavaScripts provided by The JavaScript Source)

Please help us keep this site online



(Translate this page)

| ESPA�OL | FRAN�AIS | DEUTSCH |
| ITALIANO | NORSK | PORTUGUÊS |

(above translations provided by FreeTranslation.com)

(Translate this site)

First aid for broken links


| Search this site |
| Site map | Site author | Site store |
>>> | Latest site updates | <<<

| Access Google's cache of this site |


Alternative (mirror site) links
| Translate this site |
| Site search | Site map | Site author |
| Access Google's cache of this site |


| Access mirror of this page |

This document consists of two separate but closely related works: the Timeline (this page), and Perspectives.

The Timeline is a general outline of future history, and somewhat conservative and circumscribed in what it offers the reader. The Timeline is meant to be the 'harder' (or more factual/credible) of the two works, in terms of science and predictions. But this also means the Timeline must be more generalized, more risk-averse-- and also peter out entirely as we venture into the deep, deep future, where everything must ultimately give way to outrageous guesswork (partly due to technology advancing to levels indistinguishable from magic, as a famous quote by scientist and author Arthur C. Clarke suggests).

Perspectives takes up where the Timeline leaves off, offering more risky speculation and outright fiction about what the future may bring, than is suitable in the Timeline. Perspectives helps illustrate some of the possibilities implied by the Timeline, as well as how certain select personalities of various periods might perceive (and exploit or respond to) their circumstances. Perspectives includes facts and speculation about mankind's past, as well as its future. Virtually all credible historians and archaeologists agree that there's many puzzles and mysteries regarding our past that have yet to be resolved.

Both the timeline and perspectives take a highly optimistic view of humanity's possible future. This optimism largely ignores or heavily discounts the many threats to humanity's survival and prosperity which currently exist, and appear to be mounting almost by the day. Not the least of the risks sidestepped here stem from the latest findings of SETI and related astronomical research. For it appears most (perhaps even all) technological civilizations in our galaxy destroy themselves not long after they reach our current stage of development. The references supporting this conclusion may be found in my study The rise and fall of star faring civilizations. For my current best recommendations as to how we might avoid a similar fate, please see Civilization's best defenses against war, terrorism, technological stagnation, and economic ruin. For a somewhat philosophical perspective, please see The war for our destiny.


Before 2000 AD in the Timeline...

Before 2000 AD in Perspectives...

2001 AD-2049 AD: Human civilization is rocked by technological upheaval and growing uncertainties...

2001 AD-2002 AD: Notable developments of the early years of the third millennium

The USAmerican economy leads global capitalism and democracy into new and troubling territory, by increasingly encouraging business monopolies, anti-competitive behavior, and the spread of 'lotto economics', via lax government policies; the USA is also pushing increased censorship and secrecy, and reductions in civil liberties, free speech, and innovation worldwide, implementing these directly at home via new laws, and indirectly elsewhere as other nations follow its lead (or are paid or intimidated into doing so); software complexity is reaching crisis levels; and the hallmark of the 21st century (uncertainty) makes its debut in several big ways near the dawn of the third millennium.

2003 AD-2008 AD: Newborns get a longer lease on life, child entrepreneurs reshape business, Hollywood shaken to its roots

Hollywood studios and other 'big' entertainment institutions (and their related elite) are being adversely impacted by PC and internet developments; significant extensions to life expectancies for newborns; child entrepreneurs are forcing big changes to business and employment law and practices, as well as rules relating to legal maturity and asset ownership; the net crashes some overpriced real estate markets; battery life in consumer electronics is improving dramatically; unmanned and remotely piloted aircraft (UAVs and RPVs) expand the scope of news and information gathering for the media and others (challenging the domination of public perceptions by individual geopolitical states and mega-corporations).

2009 AD-2017 AD: The net reshapes the world, 'perfect' organ replacements for the wealthy, contagious insanity, the introduction of 'second skins', and the rise of the vigilantes

The internet permeates our lives and begins radically reshaping our institutions, even as breakthroughs in other fields promise fundamental changes in living standards and all future human endeavor; personal computing gets still more powerful even as costs drop further; net users in the developed nations are becoming increasingly isolated in terms of typical historical human interaction; the first crude 'second skin' applications arrive; some forms of insanity and other surprising afflictions prove to be literally contagious; the danger of mass effect biochemical weapons use peaks for most developed states; the wealthy enjoy 'perfect' organ replacements; there are significant increases in the numbers of people taking to the sea to live and work; vigilante organizations rise in prominence and influence.

2018 AD-2025 AD: Consumer robotics and personal virtual realities go mainstream

Personal virtual realities are taking marketshare from TV, radio, films, and other media; near paperless offices, wireless appliances becoming the norm; consumer robotics go mainstream; do-it-yourself medical care becoming ever more practical and effective for many ailments; adequate hardware to support human level intelligence at consumer level prices becomes available (but suitable software remains elusive).

2026 AD-2049 AD: Accelerated environmental decline, increased religious conflict, and a wholesale plunge into VR by citizens in the developed nations (to escape mounting stresses)


The emergence of the 'Bounty Economy'; rampant identity theft and other cybercrimes lead to the first and most important privacy vs. security issues being resolved; substantial religion-related conflict erupts; budgetary priorities undergo fierce turf fights in the developed nations, with education and other consumer services usually winning; the human senses are technologically expanded in wondrous new ways; the final elements fall into place to allow software-based human level intelligence to become widely available; 98% of all cancers become curable; mini-subs and STOL/VTOL warplanes (both unmanned) are the cutting edge of warfare; tactical nuclear, biological, and space-based weapons use in conflicts not uncommon; traditional aircraft carriers now obsolete; troops enjoy numerous micromachine-based aids and supplements; environmental decline due to pollution, accidents, terrorism, war, and excessive harvests becomes alarmingly obvious now, but business continues to actively lobby governments for minimal regulatory remedies.

Beyond 2049 AD


Special treats...

Chronologies of select personalities/entities from the Signposts Perspectives

Other resources relating to the future and original appearances of futuristic concepts in literature and media

Miscellaneous new unorganized links [The most frequently updated portion of this page]




Special treats here for...

...Automobile aficionados...

...Military fans...

(State-of-the-art war technologies of the 2030s, 2060s, and 2130s)

...Conspiracy theorists...

...SETI (Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence) enthusiasts...

...and Environmental activists...

Timeline contents


...and due to popular demand, the chronologies of select personalities/entities from the Signposts Perspectives have been broken out into their own pages...

...J. Staute and the first immortal artificial intelligence-- relates how one talented programmer accidentally changes the future in an effort to cheat personal fate. He instructs his pet AI to someday return via time travel to save him from death-- no matter how long it takes for the required technologies to be realized...

...The Pearsall saga-- the story of a married couple whose exploits result in them not only becoming two of the wealthiest people in history, but also legends of deep space exploration for centuries to come...

...The story of Kerri and Cluke. A 21st century woman by the name of Kerri begins adulthood as one of the top cyber-thieves in USAmerica. With the help of her pet AI Cluke she not only runs rings around the authorities of her time, but also goes on to become an important element in many events of the centuries to follow.

Timeline contents



Revelations of the Future Kind offers you a glimpse of what others see ahead for humanity in the decades, centuries, and millennia to come.

The Timeline Page of the Ultimate Science Fiction Web Guide is notable for detailing where and when many ideas about the future may have originally appeared in literature.

Timeline contents


To buy your own copies of books and other items mentioned on this site, we invite you to visit the WebFLUX Store.


Miscellaneous new unorganized links

The links below are some I'm considering for references in future timeline/perspectives updates, or other inclusion on-site. Some of the links may end up being discarded later for reasons of broken URLs or others. So consider this list to be 'raw'; that is, not all of the sites will necessarily be good and valuable links for the purposes of this page. I include them here because (A) this is a handy place for me to personally check them out when I get the chance, and (B), where some of the links do prove valuable, having them here gives YOU the earliest possible access to them.

NOTE FROM J.R.: I'm currently experimenting with site commercialization in an effort to at minimum pay for the cost of site upkeep, and at most maybe get a little income myself from this enterprise. To that end, I'm trying out embedding 'mid-sized' banner ads in the miscellaneous links section of this and other pages. END NOTE.


The battle for American science Creationists, pro-lifers and conservatives now pose a serious threat to research and science teaching in the US
cost chronology transistors
Udall Backs Creating Department of Peace
Tide of anti-US sentiment rises in Russia - theage.com.au
'Rude Awakening' May Be in Store for Economy Following Iraq War
Market Uncertainty Won't End with Iraq
'We are not Palestine, we are not Palestine'
War Between Democracies
'this name will go down in history as that of a tyrant'
Casualty Lists Highlight Thousands of Non-Citizens Serving in the Military - from Tampa Bay Online
The noise of war distracts attention from dangerous escalation of threats
The distinct possibility of more Iraq-style conflicts has investors jittery about the huge deficits that will be needed to pay for them
Morgan Stanley Forecasts World Recession (washingtonpost.com)


N. Korea cites Iraq as reason for strong military
I'm almost continually appalled at not so much the frequency but the magnitude of these major corporations' restatement of financials
Slashdot Federal Judge Rules Against Reverse-engineering
Unless we radically transform our attitude to other species, we face a dismal future
Traditional media mislead the public about the war in Iraq as a media revolution makes traditional media increasingly irrelevant
War is becoming sanitized, on our side....By making war more sanitary, one makes it more likely
'We've been exporting our fears, not our hopes'
For a Free Hassle, Claim Your Rebate (washingtonpost.com)
Casualty lists highlight thousands of non-citizens serving in the military
SARS supports need for mobile workforce

Timeline contents


ATTENTION science fiction writers: One of the reasons I created the timeline in the first place was to help nurture the creation of 'hard' science fiction across-the-board. Nothing so ruins a sci fi novel for many readers as a glaring implausibility, either in terms of technology or a reasonable historical order to events. Even small errors of this sort tend to get magnified with the passage of time-- as can be witnessed in much science fiction written five, ten, and twenty years ago. Plus, the 'harder' or more grounded in real science and history your fiction is, the more truly educational it will be for your readers, thus possibly offering them much more than momentary entertainment: knowledge and ideas which might help them in all sorts of ways in their own lives and pursuits. So I encourage writers to use this chronology as a springboard from which to launch their own speculative fiction, with perhaps inclusion of a note acknowledging me and my web site where appropriate (see copyright notice below). Any caveats? Yes. Please respect my own fictional efforts by avoiding more than passing references to my own unique Perspectives characters (J. Staute, Kerri, Cluke, the Pearsalls, etc., etc.) and not making any significant changes to the courses of events as depicted here (unless of course your story explicitly describes an alternate universe or dimension(s), distinct and separate from that portrayed here). If you feel strongly that a particular event in the timeline/perspectives requires correction or improvement of some sort, please email me about it -- I often make modifications as suggested by readers. Second caveat? The timeline/perspectives is regularly updated and expanded as warranted by breaking news and ideas and thus is always subject to significant change without warning (though I always strive to maintain as much consistency and feasibility as possible throughout). -- J.R.M.
The above article(s) come from and make references to a collection copyright © 1993, 1994, 1995, 1996, 1997, 1998, 1999, 2000, 2001, 2002, 2003 by J.R. Mooneyham (except where otherwise noted in the text). Text here explicitly authored by J.R. Mooneyham may be freely copied and distributed for non-commercial purposes in paper and electronic form without charge if this copyright paragraph and link to jmooneyham.com or jrmooneyham.com are included.
| Timeline Citations/References | Educated Speculation, not Fact or Prophecy | Thanks to Those Earlier Explorers... | Signposts Dates | Signposts Issues of Controversy | Signposts Corrections, Updates, and Expansions |

So who is J.R. Mooneyham, and just what are his qualifications for speculating about the future of government, business, technology, and society?

You can find out by clicking here...(and also send FEEDBACK)


Back to J.R.'s WebFLUX Page (J.R.'s web magazine)

Back to J.R.'s WebWork Page (J.R.'s own general net portal/index)

Site Map for the WebFLUX and WebWork pages

In association with Amazon.com.